Arizona Political SITREP, 9/4/10

The Arizona primary results have been in for several days now. I figured that I would weigh in with a report and pass along some thoughts on the results. Please note that I have never intended this to be a political blog, as that its prime mission is for people who want to know what I've been up to can find out what I've been up to.

However, what you read here is best described as, "I calls it as I sees it". I read commentaries and letters to the editor, I read emails and other blogs, but what I write here is from my perspective as a resident of the Grand Canyon State and from someone who hasn't been inside the Beltway since March of 1991.

As expected, the Republicans nominated incumbent Jan Brewer for Governor, while the Democrats selected Terry Goddard, who is presently our Attorney General. Terry Goddard can't stay as Attorney General forever as that we have term limits here, and like his opponent he's been involved in politics for quite some time.

I think Mr. Goddard is a competent Attorney General in most respects. In one respect he isn't. Governor Brewer could not trust him, as a Democrat, to fight the federal government's lawsuit against Arizona regarding SB1070, so she removed him from the legal team. Of course he raised something of a stink about that, but if he supports SB1070 then he risks losing support of the Democratic Party, and would not be well regarded by them in the event that he decides to pursue a federal office.

Anyway, before SB1070 emerged, I'd have bet my mortgage on him defeating Governor Brewer. However, SB1070 changed things dramatically, and with Governor Brewer defending it, I'd bet on her winning the race. The flip side is, is that November isn't tomorrow, there are some sixty days or so remaining in the campaign, and if she says or does something stupid then it will be a tight race.

For U.S. Senator, John McCain (Mr. Campaign Finance Reform), spent $20 million to win the GOP primary whereas J.D. Hayworth spent $2 million. I've been told, but not have not independently verified, that Senator McCain spent money left over from his run for the Presidency. We do know that he outspent Mr. Hayworth by a factor of ten to one, mainly working on a revisionist history that he's been for a secure border all along. He'll go back to fighting for amnesty on day one of the next session of Congress and will not remember the crocodile tears that he cried when that rancher in Cochise County was murdered by an illegal alien that he wants to give amnesty to.

McCain's opponent is Tucson City Councilman Rodney Glassman. Rod Glassman emerged out of nowhere, won election to the Council in a ward that's somewhere on the other side of town, a "blue" ward, if you will. Immediately upon his election there was speculation that he would run for Senator, which gathered momentum when President Obama nominated then-Governor Janet Napolitano to be the Secretary of Homeland Security, thus removing her as a challenger to John McCain.

Mr. Glassman hasn't cultivated much of a reputation for doing anything while on the Council. Once elected, he viewed himself as entitled to a higher calling, and he sought that higher calling once Primary Season was under way. He won the Democratic nomination with 34% of the vote, and faces an uphill challenge this fall. I don't normally make predictions, but I think he'll lose, as that there are several Democrats who would rather see Democrat John McCain in the Senate rather than Democrat Rodney Glassman. John McCain is an extremely vile traitorous rotten bastard who can be reliably counted upon to sabotage his own party when the Democrats need him the most. The Democrats might want to think twice about replacing him with Rodney Glassman.

Now we move over to the Attorney General's race. On the GOP side, Andrew Thomas launched a series of vicious attacks on Tom Horne, who is presently the incumbent Superintendent of Public Education. Mr. Horne is being forced out of that slot due to term limits, and thus decided to run for Attorney General. From what I can gather Mr. Horne has been a competent Superintendent, and not deserving of the smear campaign that Mr. Thomas ran against him. Andrew Thomas could not spend one minute telling us why he should be Attorney General; instead his focus was on why Tom Horne should not be Attorney General.

That was a close race, which finally resolved in the favor of Tom Horne. Personally, I would rather see him remain as Superintendent, but again, the term limits are forcing him out, which is that other edge of that double-edged sword.....you don't get to keep the people who you like in the office where you want to keep them.

I can't even remember now who the Democrats nominated for AG; whoever he or she is, doesn't have name recognition, and if I'm a bellwether then that bodes well for Tom Horne. I personally think he would do well as AG, but I'm going to have to ask myself if I'm going to be getting a good AG or a career politician for AG. If Mr. Horne wants my vote in sixty days, he's going to have to make a good case for it, although he might not have to work hard if his opponent is anti-SB1070.

For the state senate, the person who I most wanted to see win the nomination, Frank Antenori, has won the nomination. Marian McClure, who calls herself a Republican, can best be described as a McCain Democrat. She mounted a challenge to Mr. Antenori, and could only manage to collect one third of the primary vote. Marian McClure used to serve in the lower house of the Arizona legislature, and I even voted for her at one point, which I came to regret when I learned the hard way that she would never answer constituent email. She was termed out of that slot, ran for Arizona Corporation Commission, finished last in a state where the Republicans dominate, and she should have gotten on her broom to go ride off into the sunset, into the direction of California, which would be a better fit for her. I don't know what her plans are, but I would hope that she would pursue a career at Burger King bagging orders behind the counter, as that even someone like her would likely not fail at such a vocation.

Frank Antenori is facing Todd Camenisch for state senate, who I never heard of until this year, and Mr. Camenisch again is suffering from lack of name recognition. We here in Legislative District 30 know who Frank Antenori is, and we sent him to Phoenix. I plan on donating to his his campaign and it is my intention to contact his campaign to get a yard sign....which will be a first for me. I don't know yet if I'll be getting any other yard signs.

No, I did not forget the primary for Congressional District #8. I was intentionally saving that one for last.

On the Republican side, we had Jesse Kelly as the first to enter the race. He got his ads on the Drudge Report, and was out there early on to announce that he was taking on incumbent Gabrielle Giffords, a Democrat who reliably enjoys support from those vile traitorous bastards who are in leadership positions of the Republican National Committee. This district is 31% Republican, 27% Democrat, the rest independent or other/no party affiliation. By all rights Giffords should never have won in the first place, but that's really a subject that should be addressed on another day.

What Giffords did do against the wishes of this district, were to vote for the so-called stimulus package, and for ObamaCare. Her "town hall" meetings this year were contentious, and she became vulnerable. She has carefully tried to cultivate the image of being a "Blue Dog Democrat", but has been an even better Democrat than John McCain has.

But getting back to Mr. Kelly, he was the best known in the race, until state senator Jonathan Paton entered the race.

At that point I would have bet my mortgage that Mr. Paton would have won the nomination. He had the backing of the Republican Establishment, experience as a state legislator, was on leave from the legislature since he was (maybe still is) a reservist who was called up for military duty in Iraq (Frank Antenori's been over there too as a reservist). That's an impressive track record.

In the final days, there was all of a sudden a campain against Jesse Kelly. We don't know who funded it. It may have come from the Giffords camp, maybe from the Paton camp, or maybe even from the Republican National Committee itself. What I can tell you is that Paton was the Establishment candidate and Jesse Kelly wasn't. I didn't vote for either one, instead casting my ballot for Brian Miller since I felt that Mr. Miller was the best of the lot, but Jesse Kelly won with 49% of the vote, and Jonathan Paton is now wondering why he didn't win, and doesn't even want to speculate on it. If he's throwing his support behind Kelly, I am not aware of it. I don't know if his backers will close ranks and support Jesse Kelly, or if they'll take orders from the RNC and throw support to Giffords.

Anyway, Jesse Kelly has won the nomination, and I think he stands a chance at unseating Giffords. If Giffords had voted against the stimulus and against ObamaCare she'd be a shoo-in, but she defied the wishes of her district and got in bed with Nancy Pelosi.

The thing of it is, is that even though conventional wisdom says that the GOP will take the House in November and may even take the Senate, we as a nation will only be marginally better off with this kind of outcome. The Establishment Republicans will be in charge, and the Establishment Democrats will be in charge of a minority party that really isn't much different.

The reality is that the Republican Party is an extremely serious threat to our national security, as is the Establishment Democrats, and as is Al Qaeda.

Al Qaeda wants to bring down the United States with terrorist attacks and nuclear detonations, taking advantage of lax immigration policies put forth by both the Establishment Republicans and Establishment Democrats.

Establishment Republicans and Establishment Democrats also want to bring down the United States, but from within. They both agree that this is best accomplished by open borders, destroying the dollar, sending as many jobs as possible to China and by appointing judges who regard the Constitution as toilet paper.

This is something to think about as you enter the voting booth in early November.